Sunday, June 23, 2013

comments on PR post on money & ethics

Ethics and Money in Politics

At their core, all the many problems in this nation faces are ethical have an ethical component. As argued before (http://reformparty.tumblr.com/post/53132458418/reform-party-of-california-essays-self-interest), the Reform Party believes that self-interest is a normal trait behind many selfish actions by those in office. Due to this selfishness, governmental powers are not being used not primarily for the public good, but instead for personal gain by elected and appointed officials.

The primary symptom of this selfishness is that career politicians in the two established parties are preoccupied with giving favors to special interests in return for donations, and spending needlessly on wasteful expenditures in return for votes. For the two established parties, this favor trading is business as usual. This corrupt system makes an officeholder beholden to his/her donors, and special interests, and but not the people as a whole. In essence, the balance between self-interest and service to the public interest is often tipped too far in favor of self-interest.

The Weinergate sexting scandal aside, Anthony Wiener is the epitome of this kind of dishonest politician, and serves as the prime example of this kind of politics. According to disclosure forms for the 2008 campaign season, fifty percent of his disclosed donors were political action committees, and another forty one percent were large donors. His To an large extent, his voting record corrugates coincides with, or serves, the interests of his donors, and the needs of the people have been downplayed or swept aside. The net effect of that kind of career is more service to special interests, including Mr. Weiner himself, than service to the public interest.

This can be seen by his votes on trade. Since the start of free trade agreements with NAFTA in 1992, America’s trade deficit rose from 39.2 billion dollars to 559.8 billion in 2011, or an increase of over 1428 percent. The increase in this deficit was caused to a significant extent (or this: among other things)* by the outsourcing of jobs, and the exploitation of unregulated environments and labor overseas.

{* Comments/question: be very careful with statements like this - they can be credibility killers: the causes of our trade deficit are complex and include increased spending for oil; oil alone subtracts hundreds of billions per year from our balance of trade, but this is changing as domestic oil production cuts into import levels - see, e.g., http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-20130530-711531.html and http://research.nordeamarkets.com/en/2012/08/20/us-oil-boom-could-slash-us-oil-import-bill-and-strengthen-usd/; do you have data showing what factors contribute what portion of the trade deficit?}

Twice he voted in favor of free trade. On June 9th, 2005 Anthony Wiener cast a vote against withdrawing from the WTO, the primary international free trade agreement, and On November 8th, 2007, Anthony Wiener cast a vote that reduced trade barriers with Peru. This correlates with the interests of several large international trading companies that donated to his campaign, like IBE Trade Corp, a company that imports fertilizer made in Russia and Ukraine.*

{* Comments/question: be very careful with statements in this paragraph - are free trade agreements OK if they are (i) win-win or (ii) win for the U.S. and neutral or negative for the trade partner? What is acceptable? I suspect that Weiner is doing what most politicians routinely do, namely do self-service at the expense of public service. The toughest thing about this type of criticism is finding the data to support it. Doing that is tedious and time consuming. Public opinion now seems to oppose free trade agreements (http://www.citizen.org/documents/election-2012-polling-memo.pdf). I do not know where the majority of expert opinion stands. This paragraph implies that WTO membership is bad. Do you know the net cost/benefits of WTO membership - how good or bad is it according to current data? Maybe it was bad at one time but is now neutral or good. Do you know the ramifications of withdrawal from the WTO, e.g., what economic infrastructure, if any, is now in place that would be damaged or destroyed if we do withdraw from the WTO? The cost-benefit analyses here are blindingly complex and full of spin on many sides. I suspect that the bottom line is that free trade agreements are unacceptably unfair to the U.S., but that doesn't mean that better agreement terms can't be negotiated.}

Now that he is attempting a political comeback, and running for Mayor of New York, it is possible to see where his current proposals benefit long time donors to his campaigns. One of his proposals stands out as questionable more than the others. The first is to Move move affordable builders to the front of the bureaucratic line. On the surface, it seems like a worthy proposal, but after digging deeper the truth emerges.

The system to get construction projects approved in New York City is constipated, and needs some changes. This kind of Unfortunately, Weiner's proposal however simply favors residential builders over all others, and does nothing to fix the issue underlying problems. By favoring residential projects, it pushes back commercial and industrial projects that are necessary for businesses, and increases time and costs for these projects.

A better proposal would be to streamline the regulations, and work to decrease unnecessary bureaucratic hurdles. This kind of reform would help all kinds of development without putting one type of construction project over another.

“Follow the money,” has been a mantra of investigators since the 1970s. If one does follow the money, it is possible to see that a majority of Anthony Weiner’s top contributors are real estate developers and realtors groups like the National Realtors Association, and his proposal benefits their pocket books by reducing their wait times by putting them first.*

{* Questions: What is more lucrative, residential or commercial development? What does New York need in view of its current circumstances, more of everything?}

The solution to ethical problems in government is honesty.* This is because an honest person will vote in a way that benefits his constitutions both the broader public interest and the people he represents. If they were honest about the needs of the public interest people, instead of lying** for political gain, most of the wasteful spending and political bribery would not go on.

{* comment: I suspect that the solution to ethical issues in government is realignment of incentives by rewarding service to the public interest before service to special interests - this is pure capitalism, but is is very effective; remember, the three initial essays focused on (1) ideology, which distorts reality, (2) special interest money, which also distorts reality and corrupts politics and (3) self-interest, also a reality distorter and politics corrupter; look at defense secretary Chuck Hagel's comment quoted in essay 2 on special interest money in politics: “There’s no shame anymore. We’ve blown past the ethical standards, we now play on the edge of legal standards.” - in other words, we are beyond ethics, which are extinct in politics for the most part - the last line of defense of the public interest is the literal limits that law imposes; the intense pressure on politicians to harvest cash from special interests makes ethics irrelevant}
{** comment: it isn't just a matter of lying; ideologues often really and sincerely believe that what they do truly serves their constituents and/or the broader public interest; from that point of view, there is no lying at all; and, when large amounts of money are involved, the cash can literally alter the both the politicians and the special interests donor's perception of reality}

This kind of reform starts at the ballot. To reform government American voters must vote out the established parties, and end business as usual.

Saturday, June 22, 2013

Reform Party Commentaries



On June 13, 2013, Gallup released its annual poll (http://www.gallup.com/poll/163052/americans-confidence-congress-falls-lowest-record.aspx) asking Americans about their confidence in various institutions. The data was collected in the first week of June. People expressing "quite a lot" or "a great deal" of faith in congress dropped from 13% in 2012 to 10% in 2013, with the remaining 90% expressing either "some" (38%) or "very little" (52%) confidence in the institution. That is the lowest level of confidence that Gallup has ever recorded for any of the societal institutions it asks about each year.

For context, it is worth considering this: What issues or institutions related to politics gets what is, in essence, a 90% disapproval rate from the public? Things like pedophilia, murder and unprovoked nuclear attacks on cities in non-combatant or peaceful countries probably elicit that kind of disapproval, but not much else unless it is similarly extreme. For most issues, public opinion is highly polarized and highly fragmented. That fragmentation does not seem to apply here. If you accept that perception of reality as basically true, then this degree of disapproval is truly remarkable.

Inevitable or not?
The situation is regrettable but maybe at least somewhat inevitable. As Gallup points out, some of the loss of confidence stems from the split control between the two parties. However, that doesn't fully explain these awful numbers. The Reform Party believes that there is a significant degree of inevitability in the situation, given the manner in which two-party politics is routinely conducted. As the Reform Party has argued elsewhere, spin is the work product that dominates both parties (http://reformparty.tumblr.com/post/53505876521/reform-party-of-california-essays-political). On top of that credibility-killing aspect, both parties or their politicians are co-opted and/or corrupted by, e.g., blinding ideology (http://reformparty.tumblr.com/post/52857310148/reform-party-of-california-essays-what-is-the), special interest money (http://reformparty.tumblr.com/post/53012960908/reform-party-of-california-essays-politics-and) and self-interest (http://reformparty.tumblr.com/post/53132458418/reform-party-of-california-essays-self-interest).

No wonder the vast majority of the public has lost faith in congress. Unfortunately, congress is a critically important political institution that needs to function to serve the public interest. At present, it is broken and looks to stay that way for some time. The two-party system always claims that factors such as special interest money have no ill-effects and that it is only there to serve the public interest. If that were true, then why is the public's confidence so low?

It is true that, if you are good at spin, you can fool most of the people some of the time. Despite that, if Gallup's data is correct, it looks like endless status quo spin is finally losing some of its power to persuade. It is about time.